Comments
Latham's article in the Fin rev
Increasing the child death rate to balance the equation
Voting Systems
striking similarities with the Australian Labor Party
Teaching the Centre-Left a lesson
Nearly always a mistake to vote for a more right wing party
Saskatchewan NDP goes down to defeat
Two steps further than Andrew
Left sects and multiculturalism
I scratch my head trying to think of any enduring benefit
The slippery slope and the Australian left
Keep Howard in
Yungaba
Who are these people
I am astounded to read that
So many politicians are members of this foundation - What gives?
All the bad stuff is growing
Sounds like the Queensland Labor Party
Growth can be presented as a loss not a gain
Oh Larissa!
Reply to Larissa Waters
Dear Larissa,
Thank you for your reply and thank you for pointing out where the Greens stance on population has been stated in that earlier media release. However, it still seems to me that failure to mention population in the latest media release was a serious shortcoming.
The concluding paragraph, again, was:
"Government should be proposing sustainable solutions to the water crisis, like water recycling, rainwater tanks for every home, stormwater harvesting and demand management," concluded Ms Waters.
Anyone not familiar with the earlier media release could easily come to the conclusion that the Greens do not advocate population stability as a necessary precondition for both solving Queensland's water crisis and safeguarding the Mary River eco-system and rural community. Given that Australia is undergoing record population growth, largely driven by an unprecedented unofficial, but real, annual rate of 300,000 per year, and given that the newsmedia and the two major parties are strongly pushing population growth, it is all the more urgent that those in favour of population stability state this clearly and loudly on every appropriate occasion.
Can we expect the Greens from now on to give population stability the much higher profile that I think it deserves?
Thank you,
best regards,
James Sinnamon
Reply from Larissa Waters
E-mail sent to Larissa Waters
The population boosters are getting even worse
Unreasonable expectations and opportunism
Very strange? Try insane
Giant Queensland Population Counter gob-smacks visitor
Brain-damaged lungfish - More gems from the Senate
Obsession With Growth
Onya Larissa! Onya Lungfish!
Sheila Newman, population
Communism, capitalism and overpopulation
Authoritarianism and Intolerance (corrected)
Fear of four year term referendum in 2007 unfounded
Frightening and tragic conduct of Queensland Government
pulp mill
What are we doing?
Apple is another company to watch out for
Whereas it is true that a
Peak Oil and Politics
Mr Beazley says Murdoch's Australian doesn't run the country
Last good politician?
How much e-waste due to hardware and software incompatibility?
Nurses, used and abused by profit-mad government
BOO HOO HAVE A CRY
"Populate or perish" mentality on ABC radio
If that is true, that is good news. However ...
Should give Courier Mail credit for publishing letter, but ...
I guess we have to give the Courier Mail credit for publishing the letter, but if they were doing their job as well as they should be doing they would make these sorts of observations themselves more often and not leave it so much to their readers.
I think the impct of the letter was lost to some degree by their changing the start of the first sentence from:
Like every thinking compassionate person in this country ...
... to:
Like most compassionate people in this country ...
What about the media's role in the election menu?
There are things being done
No mandate; no acceptance!
Sugar glider is an endangered species
'Positives' do not outweigh 'negatives'
- ABS stats show that average wage growth has substantially exceeded the cost of living, even though the whole point of my article was to dispute the very basis of such statistics,
- Evidence from the ABS which "suggests that most employees work the hours they want".
- An assertion that I have exaggerated the factors which have added to the cost of living and that for each 'negative' factor not included in CPI calculations he can find several other 'positive' factors (presumably also not included in the CPI calculations).
- Bulk-billing has been emasculated. Before Howard stuffed up Medicare we could walk into a doctor's practice and get treatment without having to pay money and stuff around with Medicare claim forms and, when the cheques arrived, having to bank them. I estimate that it takes well over an hour of my time to do all this for each visit to the doctor and I am still out of pocket as the payment from the Government is less than the fee.
- Credentials creep : a degree is necessary precondition for most white collar occupations, whereas year 12 used to be easily sufficient. Occupations which once required a degree now require postgraduate qualifications.
- Loss of on-the-job training such as the apprenticeship and cadetship schemes run by Telecom (now Telstra) and other government owned utilities. Nurses and paramedics now require a degree.
- Loss of career paths for entry level employees. On ABC Radio National's Street Stories of 24 June (http://www.abc.net.au/rn/streetstories/stories/2007/1954374.htm - audio file no longer available) a prostitute in Kalgoorlie revealed that she had turned to prostitution in order to go to University. Asked why she needed to go to University, she explained that she needed a degree to get promoted beyond her entry-level job in an advertising agency. Think about it: the only path to career advancement for this girl was through prostitution. A generation ago most employees who were good enough could hope for career advancement without having to sleep with the boss or turn to prostitution. Rhian, do you think this is a step forward or a step backwards?
- Education is no longer free. Most of today's graduates have crippling HECS bills.
- Each serious job application I make these days takes at least weeks out of my life. This is to update my resume, fill out job selection criteria, write applications and if I am lucky, to attend the interview. Given the number of applicants for the jobs I go for (when I can bring myself to face such an ordeal). Given the number of applicants fro each of these jobs, simply fining a newer better job can easily consume up to a year of one's life, so many just don't bother. Year's ago, I was able to walk into good jobs by simply talking to the boss. At most, a scrappy job application and a small amount of form filing was all that was needed.
- The overheads of running small businesses have dissuaded many people I know from working for themselves. A generation ago, almost anyone could start a business without having to spend weekends filling out out paperwork, or, alternatively, employing an accountant part-time. Where is this shown in CPI figures?
- Housing loan repayment periods are 30, 40 years - some institutions are even planning for 50 year periods - where they used to be 20 years at the very most.(See story about economists, employed by banks, having fiddled statistics to make housing appear more affordable than it actually is at http://www.abc.net.au/rn/science/ockham/stories/s1335462.htm).
- Overheads of moving home for those growing numbers of Australians who don't own their own homes and are turfed out when their landlords sell or who have to move because they can't afford the rent increases. These include telephone, Internet (around $170 a hit on 5 occasions between 2001 and 2005 in my own case) electricity and gas reconnection, cleaning in order to satisfy demanding inspection requirements, time and effort searching for new accommodation and filing out paperwork, moving or selling possessions in order to avoid moving costs.
Whatever happend to longer holidays a shorter hours?
boo hoo
Minnipi Park Lands
Democaracy is not his agenda
Howard on "job destroying" unfair dismissal laws
I consider a full page "Know where you stand" advertisement, which appeared in the Courier Mail of 3 August to be extremely misleading. It is impossible to believe that those who created that advertisement were not aware of that.
It makes the claim that
... employers can't sack you for taking time off because your kids are sick.
Or for making a formal complaint against your employer.
Or being a member of a union.
Perhaps they can't sack you for those specific reasons but the removal of unfair dismissal provisions for employees working for any company with less than 100 employees meeans that they can sack you for any number of other reasons. So if you do take time off because your kids are sacked or make a formal complaint against your employer, or in a union and find yourself sacked for another entirely different and trivial reason, then, for all practical purposes you have no recourse.
Also I think John Howard needs to decide whether the right for an employer to dismiss employees without cause is a good thing or a bad thing. When the "Work Choices" laws were initially heralded, John Howard insisted that the existence of unfair dismissal laws was a major factor which caused employers not to hire staff. His argument, repeated ad nauseum, was that the difficulty an employer faced in sacking a worker if that worker were to be found to be unsuitable would often cause the employer not to hire that worker in the first place in order to avoid taking that risk. For a while he pointedly habitually prepended the adjective 'job-destroying' whenever he referred to the unfair dismissal laws. If he truly believed that then he would have to now believe, assuming that there was any truth in the advertisement's claims that jobs will be lost as a result.
I think that Tristan's concern that legislative guarantees against abuses such as the "Work Choices" saturation advertising might have a side effective of preventing governments from engaging in useful advertising is unnecessary.
I don't believe that it would be that difficult to legislate against such campaigns as Work Choices. As an example, the initial AU$55 million campaign of 2005 occurred even before the details of the legislation were made known to the public. It would be easy to draft laws which preveetned that from occurring.
Tests of truthfulness that most "Know where you stand" would fail, could easily be devised.
Government advertising
Howard's passport should be confiscated
Maleny succumbs to fate of golden goose
Fair Trade Agreements
Unelected property developers running this country
Streamlining a bad system will cause more damage faster
Above post fails to acknowledge facts
The above post seems to be mostly opinion and fails to acknowledge facts contained on other pages which support the case against enforced amalgamations.
The amalagamations are strongly posed by residents of these local communities (e.g. 80% opposed in Stanthorpe Shire), so it is not just about a few Mayors or CEO's acting to preserve their own selfish interests.
(Aussieida, I thought I saw a request for registration, but it has mysteriously vanished. My apologies. Please contact me, if you did want to register.)
Councils living in the past, overhaul needed
Victorian amalgamations
Dick Gross's article
A bit more background
Fixed 4 year terms - 1988 Referendum
Murdoch press is all about globalising the real-estate market
Is Brisbane Council insane?
"Democratic centralism" an abused, if not inherently bad concept
On amalgamation
Keep Public Water in Public Hands!!
What should happen
... then what are the other 48% doing?
employment
Most of us tends to want to be popular rather than hated
your post reads like a rationale for doing nothing

What went wrong
Beattie "pleased that we are the growth centre"
Mr Costello's economic vision reminds me of ...
Meeting a great success
The maths of dilution of radioactive material collection
The maths of dilution of radioactive material collection?
"What are the maths of dilution of radioactive material collecting above ground", is the title of Yahoo energy resources post. They're somewhat difficult, and I am not entirely on top of them yet, but I found this pdf document at www.rertr.anl.gov enlightening.
Its Figure 2, shows how the radioactivity, measured as a proportion of a fission reactor's heat production, varies with time after the reactor is shut down. At the left side the graph cuts off at 200 days post-shutdown, i.e., doesn't show the heat production fraction for earlier times.
If the missing trace from 200 days to zero days were there, it would require a screen or a piece of paper 140 times taller, because at the instant of shutdown the fraction, I happen to know, is 0.07, not 0.0005. But in those early days it's also dropping very fast, so to plot them, we would make the divisions hours or days rather than the hundreds of days in the chart we have, and we would make the vertical units larger. What this, I think, means is that the chart would look the same.
Three equations are plotted; they all give close-enough results. The one that I find useful, although I recognize that it doesn't look very nice, is the one labelled U. & W., Untermyer and Weills:
Delayed power/in-service power =
0.1*{ (t+10)^(-0.2) - (t + T_0 + 10)^(-0.2) -0.87*[(t + 20000000)^(-0.2) - (t + 20000000 + T_0)^(-0.2)] }
... where 'T_0' is how long the reactor was on and 't' is how long ago it shut down, both in seconds. This can be simplified if we approximate the time the reactor is on. 'T_0', as infinity; this causes the "^(-0.2)" terms that include it to become zero, so we can cross them out:
Delayed power/in-service power =
0.1*{ (t+10)^(-0.2) - xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx -0.87*[(t + 20000000)^(-0.2) - xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] }
... and get this:
Delayed power/in-service power =
0.1*{ (t+10)^(-0.2) -0.87*(t + 20000000)^(-0.2) }
What good is that?
Well, we can interpret the post-shutdown time in seconds 't' as the time a man-made radioactive nucleus takes to escape and become diluted. Suppose it takes ten years, i.e. 316 million seconds. Then the delayed power in the escaped, diluted man-made radioactive material is this fraction of the power of the reactor that we suppose to have been running, and leaking, forever:
0.1*{ (316,000,000+10)^(-0.2) -0.87*(316,000,000 + 20,000,000)^(-0.2) }
... and that's:
0.1 * {0.0199555 0.87*0.0197121}
... and that's:
0.0002806.
If you are able to put the whole equation, with a finite value for 'T_0', into a spreadsheet you will find that reactors that have run less than forever will have built up slightly less ten-years-delayed leakage. After infinite time, the radioactive nuclei that have escaped to the wild are decaying, and emitting their radiation, exactly as fast as new leakage replaces them; after long but finite times, they are decaying almost as fast, and therefore their activity is building up slowly.
So, for a collection of reactors that over many decades averages 1 trillion watts of total heat production, and have spent fuel pools that are only big enough for ten years' accumulation, and spent fuel older than that is all totally leaked and dispersed, we know the environmental radioactivity due to them will asymptotically approach 0.00028 trillion watts, 280 megawatts. It will forever get closer but never quite there.
To decide whether that can be "put safely into the world system on a dilute basis", you could compare it to the megawattage of radioactivity naturally dilute in, um, nature. That's actually the easy part because the dilute radioactivity in nature doesn't noticeably vary in a human lifetime. I'll return to this if there is some interest.
Tom, when you should be saying
ER / EI of nuclear
Power production? Or lots of really big sabres to rattle?
That should read Sydney Uni
3.4 Enrichment At its natural concentration of 0.7%, 235U92 can be used as a reactor fuel only in particular reactor types (heavy-water reactors and high-temperature reactors). In order to be able to maintain a nuclear chain reaction in typical light water reactors, the concentration of 235U92 in the uranium isotope mix has to be increased to about 3%. At present there exist a range of enrichment methods using UF6 as feed. Since uranium isotopes do not differ in their chemical behaviour, enrichment techniques exploit their mass difference as a means for separating them [25]. These methods are: • Gaseous diffusion: The heavier 238U92 isotope diffuses more slowly than the lighter 235U92 : Enrichment from 0.7% to 3% 235U92 requires in the order of 1,000 consecutive separation cascades. In 2002, 40% of all enrichment plant used gaseous diffusion (mostly France and USA). This percentage is decreasing in favour of the centrifuge method. • Gas centrifuge: The partial pressure of two gases (contained as a gas mixture in a rotating cylinder) depends on their masses. Centrifugal forces cause a radial concentration gradient, with the heavier isotope concentrated outside, and the lighter isotope concentrated inside. Enrichment from 0.7% to 3% 235U92 requires in the order of 10 consecutive separation cascades. In 2002, 60% of all enrichment plants used the centrifuge method (mostly Russia, Germany, UK, Netherlands, China, and Japan). • Electromagnetic Isotope Separation (EMIS): Uses the magnetic separation principle of a mass spectrometer, albeit at a larger scale. Used for building the Hiroshima bomb, and in Iraq’s nuclear program, but now outdated. • Aerodynamic (jet nozzle) method: Exploits the same physical principle as the gas centrifuge, but creates a rotating gas mixture by injection into a circular jet. Demonstration plants built in Brazil and South Africa. • Laser: The energy spectra, and therefore the ionisation energies of different isotopes depend on their masses. Using mono-energetic laser beams, one isotope can be preferentially ionised, and filtered out using an electrostatic field. At the end of this stage, the enriched UF6 is converted into uranium oxide (UO2). The energy needed for enrichment is partly dependent on the incremental enrichment factor for one cascade, which in turn determines the number of cascades necessary to achieve enrichment to around 3%. Gaseous diffusion needs more cascades than the gas centrifuges, and additionally requires the energy-intensive compression of UF6 at the entry point of each cascade (Table 3.4). Gas centrifuges only require electrical energy for the rotation of the cylinders, and some heat in order to maintain an axial convection of the UF6. Atomic laser techniques require the normally metallic uranium to be evaporated (using considerable heat energy), and then transferred into a vacuum, so that ions can be electrostatically filtered [25]. The Australian laser technique is based on molecular rather than atomic laser separation. Instead of having to maintain uranium atoms in a hot gas, the technique uses the already gaseous UF6, and preferentially excites UF6 molecules.6 [ ... ] The two tables above require an explanation of the unit SWU. Amounts of enriched uranium are usually expressed as Separative Work Units (for example tonne SWU).8 There is a trade-off between the amount of natural uranium feed and the number of SWUs needed to produce enriched uranium. For example: in order to produce 10kg of uranium at 4.5% 235U92 concentration while allowing a tails assay of 0.3% requires 100 kg of natural uranium and 62 SWU. Asking for the tails to have only 0.2% assay limits the amount of natural uranium needed to 83 kg, but it also increases the separative work to 76 SWU. Hence, the optimal (tails assay) compromise between uranium feed and separative work depends on the price of natural uranium versus the cost of enrichment operating inputs. During times of cheap uranium, an enrichment plant operator will probably choose to allow a higher 235U92 tails assay, and vice versa. In terms of the energy balance of the nuclear fuel cycle this means that lower tails assays mean that less energy is spent on mining, milling and conversion, and more on enrichment, and vice versa ([17] pp. 26-36 & 43). Storm van Leeuwen and Smith [18] summarise studies undertaken between 1974 and 2003, averaging 2,600 kWh/SWU for gas diffusion, and 290 kWh/SWU for gas centrifuges.9 These values agree well with most of the additional references (Table 3.4).
Uneconomical Channel deepening sign of corruption in gov